The Alberta United Conservative Party would form a majority government with fewer seats than it had in 2019 if an election happened now, according to projections from 338Canada. .The Alberta UCP would win 48 seats, a decrease from 63 in 2019, according to the Wednesday projections. They said the Alberta NDP would garner 39 seats, an increase from 24 in 2019. .No other parties would win a seat in the Alberta Legislature. The other parties the projections cited were the Alberta Party and the Alberta Greens. .The projections went on to say the UCP would win the popular vote at 51%. They added the NDP would finish in second place at 45%. .The Alberta Party would come in third place at 1%. The Greens would not register a measurable percentage. .Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has a safe hold on Brooks-Medicine Hat, beating out Alberta Party leader Barry Morishita. NDP leader Rachel Notley has a safe hold on Edmonton-Strathcona. .Green leader Jordan Wilkie would lose Edmonton-Rutherford to the NDP candidate. .The projections come after Smith and Notley went toe to toe in the Alberta Leaders’ Debate on May 18, with both landing blows, but no knockout punch..READ MORE: Smith says Notley won't run on her record, it was an 'absolute disaster'.Opening remarks had a one-minute time limit, then 10 questions were asked with a limited response of 45 seconds. The order to speak first was a random draw, with Smith winning..“This election number comes down to a choice between the UCP government that lowers taxes, balanced the budget, and returned Alberta to its place as the economic powerhouse of Canada, or we could choose to go backward with the same failed NDP policies that hike taxes, drove out jobs and investment, and almost bankrupted our province,” she said. .The data is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, election history, and demographic information. No margin of error was assigned to it.
The Alberta United Conservative Party would form a majority government with fewer seats than it had in 2019 if an election happened now, according to projections from 338Canada. .The Alberta UCP would win 48 seats, a decrease from 63 in 2019, according to the Wednesday projections. They said the Alberta NDP would garner 39 seats, an increase from 24 in 2019. .No other parties would win a seat in the Alberta Legislature. The other parties the projections cited were the Alberta Party and the Alberta Greens. .The projections went on to say the UCP would win the popular vote at 51%. They added the NDP would finish in second place at 45%. .The Alberta Party would come in third place at 1%. The Greens would not register a measurable percentage. .Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has a safe hold on Brooks-Medicine Hat, beating out Alberta Party leader Barry Morishita. NDP leader Rachel Notley has a safe hold on Edmonton-Strathcona. .Green leader Jordan Wilkie would lose Edmonton-Rutherford to the NDP candidate. .The projections come after Smith and Notley went toe to toe in the Alberta Leaders’ Debate on May 18, with both landing blows, but no knockout punch..READ MORE: Smith says Notley won't run on her record, it was an 'absolute disaster'.Opening remarks had a one-minute time limit, then 10 questions were asked with a limited response of 45 seconds. The order to speak first was a random draw, with Smith winning..“This election number comes down to a choice between the UCP government that lowers taxes, balanced the budget, and returned Alberta to its place as the economic powerhouse of Canada, or we could choose to go backward with the same failed NDP policies that hike taxes, drove out jobs and investment, and almost bankrupted our province,” she said. .The data is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, election history, and demographic information. No margin of error was assigned to it.
